Stanislaw Michal Kubik
Quantitative Trader
stanislaw.kubik@proton.me | +41 77 287 65 28 | Lugano, Switzerland
Experience
Butterfly.Trading | Quantitative Trader & Desk Lead
Lugano, Switzerland | Jul 2025 – Present
- Desk Leadership: Leads a team of two developers, managing the end-to-end systematic arbitrage desk across crypto, options, and prediction markets. Accountable for overall desk results and translating venue-specific mechanics into deployable trading structures.
- Strategy Development: Specializes in targeting niche venues to execute rapid 1-day prototyping that evolves into live trading strategies.
- Forecasting Pipeline: Built and currently maintains an intraday realized variance forecasting pipeline for short-dated crypto derivatives, utilizing a time-series model with intraday seasonality.
- Infrastructure & DevOps: Oversees real-time production stacks on AWS/Linux, managing REST/WebSocket ingestion, backtesting/replay engines, execution services, and full observability (monitoring, alerting, and incident response).
- ML Infrastructure: Bult a serverless GPU compute pipeline to scale Transformer inference, automating the semantic reconciliation of prediction market events for arbitrage execution.
ACT Commodities Group | Market Intelligence Analyst (Intern & Working student)
Amsterdam, Netherlands | Sep 2023 – May 2024
- Volatility Modeling: Leveraged autoregressive models to analyze trends and forecast volatility in environmental commodity markets, directly generating actionable insights for the trading desk.
- Market Analysis: Produced detailed monthly analysis reports on European & UK compliance carbon markets, distributed to over 500 clients.
- Automation: Designed and automated data extraction and processing for large carbon certificate datasets using Python and SQL, significantly improving internal desk processes.
Coachways Q.R.U. | Family Company
Krakow, Poland & Remote | Oct 2021 – Jul 2025
- Managed a diversified passive investment portfolio for a family company, allocating capital across multiple sectors to ensure balanced growth and risk management.
Education
University of Oxford, Saïd Business School
MSc Financial Economics | 2024 – 2025
- Grade: Merit
- Key Modules: Financial Econometrics, Macroeconomics, Continuous Time Finance, Asset Pricing, Macrofinance, Fixed Income and Derivatives, Financial Microeconomics, Trading.
Erasmus University Rotterdam, Rotterdam School of Management
BSc International Business Administration | 2021 – 2024
- Honors: Cum Laude
- Specialisation: Finance
Technical Projects
- SOFR curve fitting from SR1 and SR3 futures | Feb 2026
- Built a SOFR curve fitting report that fits a stepwise SOFR forward curve from SR1/SR3 futures via a progressive Stage 1–5 pipeline (OLS → turns+fixings → smoothing → liquidity weighting → Huber).
- Fixed Income PCA Mean Reversion | Jan 2026
- Built a PCA-neutral US Treasury butterfly backtest that neutralizes level/slope (PC1/PC2) in walk-forward estimation and trades mean reversion in a standardized PC3 residual.
- Vectorised Backtesting Python Library | Jan 2026
- Wrote vectorised-backtesting, a compact research library for fast vectorised backtesting and portfolio construction with consistent timing/lag assumptions, cash and turnover accounting, and guardrails that prevent silent bad results during rapid strategy prototyping.
- Summaries AI Agent | Jan 2026
- Built Summaries AI agent, an open-source workflow that produces concise, intuition-first maths and statistics summaries for quantitative finance using a fixed LaTeX template, automated PDF compilation/cleanup, and optional MCP-enabled paper discovery (arXiv, Crossref, Semantic Scholar) with web-search fallback.
- Crypto Carry Factor | Dec 2025
- Extended Koijen et al. (2018) methodology to Binance USDT perpetuals (2021–2025) and built a Python pipeline (Binance REST API) to construct a top-30 liquidity long/short funding carry factor. Reported Sharpe 0.31 overall; carry attribution Sharpe 3.55.
- Volatility Forecasting Pipeline | Jan 2025
-
Developed a Python-based Value-at-Risk (VaR) forecasting pipeline using
archandstatsmodelson 20+ years of global equity index data. Implemented volatility model selection frameworks, utilizing Filtered Historical Simulation and RiskMetrics forecasts with recursive/rolling window updates.
Skills & Interests
| Category | Skills |
|---|---|
| Quantitative Finance | Time series & cross-sectional forecasting, Volatility modelling, Feature engineering, Derivatives Pricing |
| Programming | Python (Pandas, NumPy, Scikit-learn), SQL, AI Agents, Rust (Basic proficiency) |
| Infrastructure | AWS (EC2, VPC, S3, IAM), Docker, Git, Linux environments |
| Languages | English (Professional), Polish (Native) |
Certifications & Activities:
- GMAT: 750 (99th percentile)
- Certificates: Level 4 in Applied Asset Management (LFBI/AmplifyMe).
- Activities: Oxford Saïd Asset Management Masterclass, Poker (30th/140 in Financial Markets Charity Poker), Endurance Sports (Oxford Half-Marathon).